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2024-12-14 00:29:46

The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Nuotai Bio-boy Ziquan: Top-level design is the opportunity and innovation of the times to accelerate the transformation of old and new kinetic energy. Recently, the Central Economic Work Conference proposed that scientific and technological innovation should lead the development of new quality productive forces and build a modern industrial system. Tong Ziquan, chairman of Nuotai Bio, said that the series deployment of this conference will further promote the in-depth implementation of the innovation-driven development strategy, promote the integrated development of the real economy and the digital economy, advanced manufacturing and modern service industries, foster new quality productivity and form more new growth points, and continue to promote the accelerated transformation of old and new kinetic energy. (SSE)On the tariffs proposed by the Trump administration, Costco executives said that the company had faced tariffs in the past and believed that its businesses had the ability to cope with this situation.


Broadcom's share price rose to 15% in the US after hours.Central Bank of Peru: It is expected that the annual inflation rate and core inflation rate will remain within the expected range.Central Bank of Peru: It is expected that the annual inflation rate and core inflation rate will remain within the expected range.


China Air China: Passenger turnover increased by 22% year-on-year in November. Air China announced that the combined passenger turnover of the company and its subsidiaries increased by 22% year-on-year in November 2024. Passenger transport capacity investment increased by 12.9% year-on-year, of which domestic passenger transport capacity investment increased by 3.2%, international passenger transport capacity investment increased by 43.7%, and regional passenger transport capacity investment increased by 19%. In terms of freight transportation, the input of freight transportation capacity increased by 18.4% year-on-year, and the turnover of freight and mail increased by 20.9% year-on-year. In November, one ARJ21-700 aircraft and one C919 aircraft were introduced. By the end of November, the total number of operating aircraft was 927.Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.On the tariffs proposed by the Trump administration, Costco executives said that the company had faced tariffs in the past and believed that its businesses had the ability to cope with this situation.

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